Unemployment rate drops to 4.2 pct

Colin Brinsden, AAP Economics and Business Correspondent |

Australia’s unemployment rate dropped to 4.2 per cent in December from 4.6 per cent the previous month, its lowest level since August 2008. 

The Australian Bureau of Statistics said 64,800 people joined the workforce in December in a further recovery from last year’s coronavirus lockdowns in NSW, Victoria and the ACT.

“This provides an indication of the state of the labour market in the first two weeks of December, before the large increase in COVID cases later in the month,” ABS head of labour statistics Bjorn Jarvis said.

“Recovery in New South Wales and Victoria continued to have a large influence on the national figures, with employment in these two states increasing by 32,000 and 25,000 people between November and December.”

This takes employment back to where it was in May for these two states.

The fall in the unemployment rate is far quicker than the Reserve Bank of Australia had been expecting.

In its most recent economic forecasts released in November, the RBA had predicted an unemployment rate of 4.75 per cent by the end of 2021 and 4.5 per cent in the middle of 2022.

Separately, new data showed that while Australians had intended to spend big heading into 2022, there are already signs those expectations won’t be met due to the impact of the Omicron variant.

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia’s household spending intentions index rose 2.5 per cent in December, its highest level since the survey began in July 2017.

The biggest gains were in travel, transport and retail sectors.

The index combines an analysis of CBA payments data, loan applications and publicly available search activity on Google Trends.

CBA senior economist Belinda Allen said household spending data for December showed a sustained recovery from the Delta lockdowns, fuelled by accumulated household savings estimated at some $260 billion.

“The boost in the travel and transport sector also reflect increased mobility around the country in December,” she said.

However, the Omicron variant led to a surge in COVID-19 cases late in December and into January.

“We can see from our high frequency credit and debit card data there does appear to be a fall in spending in January, with spending on services more impacted than goods spending,” she said.